Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1944 |
BRA
4 - 0
URU
53%
20%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
BRA
6 - 1
URU
51%
20%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1942 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
6 - 3
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
5 - 1
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |