Uruguay vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1940 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1940 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1939 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
5 - 0
ECU
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1939 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
52%
21%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PER
5 - 2
ECU
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |