Uruguay vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
41.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2002 |
SGP
1 - 2
URU
18%
24%
58%
|
91 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
CHN
0 - 2
URU
38%
26%
36%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
USA
2 - 1
URU
46%
26%
28%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 1
URU
70%
21%
10%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
KSA
3 - 2
URU
36%
27%
36%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 1
TUN
78%
16%
6%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 1
CMR
74%
18%
9%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
DEN
3 - 1
ISR
71%
19%
11%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
IRL
3 - 0
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
KSA
0 - 1
DEN
31%
27%
41%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |