Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
BRA
23%
22%
55%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
URU
37%
24%
38%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
URU
3 - 1
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
MEX
0 - 4
URU
34%
25%
41%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
PAN
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
CRC
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
BOL
78%
16%
7%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |