Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
24%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
URU
3 - 1
VEN
74%
18%
9%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
ECU
4 - 0
URU
31%
28%
41%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1997 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
33%
28%
40%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1997 |
COL
0 - 1
PER
69%
20%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1997 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
42%
30%
28%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1997 |
COL
0 - 1
ARG
37%
28%
36%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
SVK
85%
11%
5%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
VEN
0 - 2
COL
23%
30%
47%
|
90 | 61 | 29 | 0 |