Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1995 |
URU
2 - 1
BOL
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1995 |
URU
1 - 1
MEX
52%
26%
23%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1995 |
URU
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1995 |
URU
4 - 1
VEN
76%
17%
8%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1995 |
URU
2 - 2
NZL
72%
19%
10%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1995 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1995 |
BRA
3 - 0
COL
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1995 |
COL
1 - 0
ECU
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1995 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1995 |
USA
0 - 0
COL
38%
31%
31%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |