Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 1
URU
26%
31%
44%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
31%
31%
38%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1989 |
URU
0 - 0
COL
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1989 |
ISR
0 - 0
COL
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
COL
1 - 0
ISR
58%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 1
COL
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |