Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1981 |
URU
0 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 2
URU
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1981 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
17%
26%
57%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
URU
2 - 0
ITA
22%
28%
51%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1980 |
URU
2 - 0
NED
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
PER
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
COL
1 - 1
ESP
25%
29%
47%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1981 |
COL
1 - 2
CHI
34%
25%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
PAR
0 - 2
COL
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 1981 |
CHI
1 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |