Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1962 |
SCO
2 - 3
URU
51%
22%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1962 |
SUN
5 - 0
URU
43%
22%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
CSK
3 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1962 |
HUN
1 - 1
URU
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1962 |
GER
3 - 0
URU
61%
19%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
COL
2 - 2
MEX
30%
21%
49%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
COL
0 - 1
MEX
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
COL
2 - 0
USA
52%
19%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 1957 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
66%
17%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |