Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 1
URU
31%
21%
48%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1957 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1957 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
47%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
81%
11%
7%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1957 |
URU
3 - 2
BRA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 2
PAR
38%
20%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1957 |
COL
2 - 3
PAR
40%
20%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1957 |
COL
1 - 1
URU
31%
21%
48%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
COL
4 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1957 |
PER
4 - 1
COL
85%
10%
6%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |