Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 2
URU
25%
20%
55%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1949 |
URU
3 - 2
ECU
82%
11%
7%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
URU
4 - 2
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
67%
17%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
BRA
5 - 0
COL
81%
11%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
PER
4 - 0
COL
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
3 - 0
COL
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
4 - 1
COL
59%
19%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |