Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
17.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
63%
17%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
40%
21%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1946 |
COL
2 - 1
PAN
66%
17%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1946 |
COL
4 - 1
CRC
49%
21%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1946 |
COL
4 - 1
PRI
76%
14%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1946 |
COL
4 - 2
GTM
62%
18%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1946 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |