Uruguay vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1944 |
BRA
4 - 0
URU
53%
20%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1944 |
BRA
6 - 1
URU
51%
20%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1943 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1943 |
ARG
3 - 3
URU
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 0
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1938 |
COL
1 - 2
ECU
60%
19%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 4
PER
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |