Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
57%
22%
21%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
22%
24%
54%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
URU
0 - 2
BRA
18%
21%
61%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
COL
0 - 3
URU
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
67%
19%
14%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
BOL
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
ARG
1 - 1
CHI
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
84%
11%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |