Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
33%
26%
41%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
URU
4 - 2
BOL
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
UKR
2 - 3
URU
34%
26%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
PER
0 - 2
URU
17%
21%
63%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
4 - 2
PER
67%
21%
13%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MEX
1 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 2
CHI
74%
18%
8%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 1
CHI
60%
24%
16%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |