Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
40%
26%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1999 |
PAR
2 - 3
URU
43%
27%
30%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
COL
2 - 3
CHI
45%
25%
30%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEN
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 1
MEX
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
ECU
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |