Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
0 - 2
URU
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
28%
27%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1985 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
URU
2 - 2
PER
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
URU
3 - 0
COL
73%
19%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
2 - 0
URU
45%
28%
27%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1985 |
CHI
6 - 2
ECU
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
PER
1 - 1
CHI
48%
28%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1985 |
ECU
1 - 1
CHI
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1985 |
CHI
1 - 2
PER
63%
23%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |