Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1983 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1983 |
PER
1 - 1
URU
47%
28%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1983 |
URU
1 - 1
PER
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1983 |
URU
3 - 0
PAR
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1983 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
45%
29%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
4 - 2
BOL
72%
17%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
3 - 2
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 0
PER
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1983 |
CHI
0 - 0
BRA
15%
24%
62%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 0
CHI
49%
28%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |