Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1956 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1956 |
URU
4 - 2
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
PER
2 - 1
URU
56%
19%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
6 - 1
URU
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1955 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1956 |
CHI
4 - 1
BRA
44%
22%
34%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
2 - 1
CHI
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
81%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |