Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1946 |
URU
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1945 |
ARG
6 - 2
URU
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1945 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
36%
24%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
36%
22%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
53%
21%
27%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |