Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
PAN
5 - 2
URU
34%
22%
44%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
CUW
9 - 1
URU
21%
20%
59%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1941 |
SLV
8 - 0
URU
32%
22%
46%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1941 |
ITA
7 - 2
URU
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
PER
62%
19%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
5 - 0
ECU
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
2 - 5
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |