Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1940 |
URU
3 - 0
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1940 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 0
PER
43%
22%
36%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
5 - 0
ECU
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
2 - 5
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
CHI
1 - 2
ARG
33%
23%
44%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1940 |
URU
3 - 2
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |