Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1938 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1938 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1937 |
ARG
5 - 1
URU
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
URU
0 - 3
ARG
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
PER
3 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
PAR
5 - 1
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1937 |
PER
2 - 2
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
3 - 2
CHI
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1937 |
URU
0 - 3
CHI
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | +2 |