Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
URU
1 - 0
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1934 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1933 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
52%
23%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
51%
22%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
ARG
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1934 |
CHI
4 - 3
JPN
53%
21%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1934 |
PHL
0 - 2
CHI
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1934 |
CHI
2 - 0
INE
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |