Uruguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1917 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1917 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1917 |
ROS
0 - 1
URU
11%
17%
72%
|
72 | 13 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1916 |
URU
3 - 1
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1916 |
URU
4 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1916 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
6 - 1
CHI
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1913 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
48%
23%
30%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -2 |