Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
80.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
13.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
URU
1 - 1
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1999 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
40%
26%
35%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1999 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
64%
21%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1999 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1999 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
51%
25%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
7%
16%
77%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
77%
14%
9%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
88%
9%
3%
|
99 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
2 - 1
MEX
87%
9%
4%
|
99 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
BRA
7 - 0
VEN
94%
5%
1%
|
99 | 66 | 33 | 0 |