Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
44.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
MEX
1 - 1
URU
57%
26%
17%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
ESP
2 - 1
URU
65%
22%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
71%
20%
9%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 1
FIN
83%
13%
4%
|
95 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
BRA
3 - 0
USA
83%
13%
4%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 1
CSK
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
YUG
62%
22%
16%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
BRA
21%
27%
52%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | -1 |