Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
URU
27%
30%
43%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
URU
0 - 0
ECU
70%
21%
10%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
VEN
0 - 1
URU
22%
30%
48%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1993 |
URU
3 - 0
PER
70%
21%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1993 |
PER
1 - 2
URU
27%
31%
42%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
BRA
1 - 1
MEX
70%
20%
11%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
VEN
1 - 5
BRA
13%
25%
62%
|
94 | 59 | 35 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1993 |
BOL
2 - 0
BRA
15%
25%
60%
|
95 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 1993 |
ECU
0 - 0
BRA
17%
26%
57%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1993 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
78%
16%
7%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |