Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
57%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
URU
2 - 0
ITA
22%
28%
51%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1980 |
URU
2 - 0
NED
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1980 |
URU
4 - 0
SUI
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1980 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
URU
6 - 0
FIN
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1981 |
BRA
4 - 1
BRD
51%
25%
24%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
41%
27%
33%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUI
87%
11%
2%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1980 |
BRA
6 - 0
PAR
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1980 |
PAR
1 - 2
BRA
17%
26%
57%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |