Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 3
PER
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
77%
13%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
COL
1 - 0
URU
38%
22%
40%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1957 |
URU
5 - 2
ECU
91%
6%
3%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
67%
17%
15%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
9 - 0
COL
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
7 - 1
ECU
93%
5%
2%
|
87 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
87%
8%
4%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1956 |
BRA
4 - 1
CSK
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1956 |
BRA
0 - 1
CSK
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |