Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1950 |
URU
3 - 2
SWE
40%
22%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1950 |
URU
2 - 2
ESP
45%
22%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
URU
8 - 0
BOL
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1950 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
6 - 1
ESP
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
7 - 1
SWE
57%
19%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 0
YUG
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1950 |
BRA
2 - 2
SUI
79%
12%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1950 |
BRA
4 - 0
MEX
67%
16%
17%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |