Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
URU
7 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1942 |
URU
6 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
PAN
5 - 2
URU
34%
22%
44%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1941 |
CUW
9 - 1
URU
21%
20%
59%
|
80 | 42 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1941 |
SLV
8 - 0
URU
32%
22%
46%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
2 - 1
PER
61%
19%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
64%
18%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |