Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1932 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
2 - 4
URU
50%
23%
26%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1930 |
URU
6 - 1
YUG
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 28 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1931 |
BRA
2 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 3
USA
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 1
YUG
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 27 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1930 |
BRA
3 - 2
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1930 |
BRA
4 - 0
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |