Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
8%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1923 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
2 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1922 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |