Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 1920 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
52%
22%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1920 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1919 |
URU
4 - 2
ARG
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 3
ARG
54%
22%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1919 |
URU
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1919 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |