Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
24.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1917 |
URU
4 - 0
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1917 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1917 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
65%
19%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1917 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1917 |
ROS
0 - 1
URU
11%
17%
72%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1917 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1916 |
URU
0 - 1
BRA
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 1916 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1916 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |