Uruguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
URU
4 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1915 |
SCO
1 - 2
URU
10%
18%
72%
|
71 | 9 | 62 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1915 |
ROS
3 - 2
URU
11%
18%
71%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1915 |
URU
2 - 0
ARG
50%
22%
28%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1915 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
63%
20%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1916 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1916 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1914 |
ARG
3 - 0
BRA
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |