Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
URU
30%
30%
40%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
URU
29%
30%
41%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1989 |
ECU
1 - 1
URU
33%
29%
38%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1989 |
URU
3 - 1
ECU
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1989 |
ITA
1 - 1
URU
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
URU
30%
30%
40%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
URU
29%
30%
41%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1989 |
PAR
2 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 2
PAR
24%
25%
51%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 1987 |
COL
2 - 0
BOL
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |