Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 0
VEN
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
URU
3 - 0
CHI
52%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
URU
2 - 1
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 0
VEN
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
VEN
1 - 3
BOL
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
2 - 2
PAR
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 1
PAR
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |