Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1950 |
BRA
1 - 0
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1950 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
70%
15%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
PAR
3 - 2
URU
49%
20%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1950 |
CHI
2 - 1
URU
42%
21%
37%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1950 |
CHI
5 - 0
BOL
74%
14%
12%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
BOL
2 - 0
CHI
45%
22%
34%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 0
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAR
7 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1949 |
PER
3 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
11%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |