Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
URU
2 - 0
COL
64%
18%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1947 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
64%
17%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1947 |
BRA
0 - 0
URU
63%
17%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
PAR
2 - 1
URU
40%
21%
39%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
ECU
2 - 2
BOL
51%
21%
28%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
URU
5 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
PAR
4 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |