Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
4 - 3
URU
60%
18%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1946 |
URU
4 - 3
BRA
47%
22%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1945 |
ARG
6 - 2
URU
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
PAR
4 - 2
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1945 |
BOL
3 - 3
COL
45%
22%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1945 |
URU
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |