Uruguay vs Bolivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1927 |
URU
4 - 0
PER
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1927 |
ARG
0 - 1
URU
47%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1927 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1926 |
URU
6 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1926 |
URU
6 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bolivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1927 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1926 |
URU
6 - 0
BOL
71%
17%
12%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1926 |
BOL
1 - 6
PAR
56%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1926 |
ARG
5 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
17%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
7 - 1
BOL
33%
25%
43%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -2 |