Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
ECU
0 - 0
URU
37%
27%
37%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
URU
3 - 2
COL
50%
27%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
ESP
2 - 0
URU
71%
19%
11%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
PER
0 - 0
URU
32%
26%
42%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
VEN
1 - 1
URU
21%
24%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
79%
16%
6%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
22%
26%
53%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
HUN
1 - 2
ARG
16%
24%
60%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 1
ARG
51%
22%
27%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
18%
21%
61%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |