Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
36.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1987 |
URU
2 - 1
BOL
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1987 |
URU
2 - 1
ECU
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1986 |
SCO
0 - 0
URU
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
6 - 1
URU
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1987 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 1
PER
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
0 - 1
PAR
71%
19%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1987 |
ARG
1 - 3
ITA
55%
26%
19%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
3 - 2
BRD
46%
24%
31%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | +1 |