Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
43.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
URU
0 - 0
ENG
26%
28%
47%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
URU
0 - 2
BRD
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 2
BOL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1977 |
URU
2 - 0
VEN
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
IRL
80%
15%
5%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
BGR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1978 |
PER
1 - 3
ARG
30%
27%
43%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |