Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1976 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 1
URU
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1976 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1976 |
URU
2 - 2
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
23%
26%
52%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
ARG
2 - 2
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1976 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
HUN
2 - 0
ARG
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
POL
1 - 2
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |