Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1928 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
32%
24%
45%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1928 |
PAR
3 - 1
URU
30%
24%
46%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1928 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1928 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1928 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1928 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1928 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1928 |
ARG
6 - 0
EGY
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1928 |
ARG
6 - 3
BEL
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |