Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1924 |
URU
3 - 1
PAR
71%
17%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1924 |
URU
5 - 0
CHI
79%
13%
8%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
24%
22%
54%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1924 |
URU
2 - 3
ARG
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |