Uruguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
0 - 2
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1923 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1923 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
URU
0 - 2
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1923 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |